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Historical and future temperature trends (Map Service)
OwnerUnited States Department of Agriculture - view all
Update frequencyunknown
Last updated10 months ago
Overview

The National Forest Climate Change Maps project was developed by the Rocky Mountain Research Station (RMRS) and the Office of Sustainability and Climate to meet the needs of national forest managers for information on projected climate changes at a scale relevant to decision making processes, including forest plans. The maps use state-of-the-art science and are available for every national forest in the contiguous United States with relevant data coverage. Currently, the map sets include variables related to precipitation, air temperature, snow (including snow residence time and April 1 snow water equivalent), and stream flow.\n\nHistorical (1975-2005) and future (2071-2090) precipitation and temperature data for the contiguous United States are ensemble mean values across 20 global climate models from the CMIP5 experiment (https://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/BAMS-D-11-00094.1), downscaled to a 4 km grid. For more information on the downscaling method and to access the data, please see Abatzoglou and Brown, 2012 (https://rmets.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1002/joc.2312) and the Northwest Knowledge Network (https://climate.northwestknowledge.net/MACA/). We used the MACAv2- Metdata monthly dataset; average temperature values were calculated as the mean of monthly minimum and maximum air temperature values (degrees C), averaged over the season of interest (annual, winter, or summer). Absolute and percent change were then calculated between the historical and future time periods.\n\nHistorical (1975-2005) and future (2071-2090) precipitation and temperature data for the state of Alaska were developed by the Scenarios Network for Alaska and Arctic Planning (SNAP) (https://snap.uaf.edu). These datasets have several important differences from the MACAv2-Metdata (https://climate.northwestknowledge.net/MACA/) products, used in the contiguous U.S. They were developed using different global circulation models and different downscaling methods, and were downscaled to a different scale (771 m instead of 4 km). While these cover the same time periods and use broadly similar approaches, caution should be used when directly comparing values between Alaska and the contiguous United States.\n\nRaster data are also available for download from RMRS site (https://www.fs.usda.gov/rm/boise/AWAE/projects/NFS-regional-climate-change-maps/categories/us-raster-layers.html), along with pdf maps and detailed metadata (https://www.fs.usda.gov/rm/boise/AWAE/projects/NFS-regional-climate-change-maps/downloads/NationalForestClimateChangeMapsMetadata.pdf).

AWAEAir Water and Aquatic Environments ProgramAlaskaNational ForestsOSCOffice of Sustainability and ClimateOpen DataRMRSRocky Mountain Research StationUSDA Forest ServiceUSFSclimateclimate changecontinental U.S.temperaturewarming
Additional Information
KeyValue
dcat_issued2019-02-20
dcat_modified2022-08-25
dcat_publisher_nameU.S. Forest Service
guidhttps://www.arcgis.com/home/item.html?id=d9e653180595478c86d7a01d83a07451
language
harvest_object_idfd4ba0a0-e770-4f0c-a1ae-5aedac98c0a2
harvest_source_id2c0b1e04-ba48-4488-9de5-0dab41f9913f
harvest_source_titleUSDA Open Data Catalog
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